Analisis Tingkat Inflasi Selama Pandemi Covid 19 Terkonfirmasi di Negara Mayoritas Muslim

Desty Prinatasya

Abstract


Inflation can come at any time and cannot be controlled with the Covid-19 pandemic confirmed In muslim majaraty countries to add shocks to the inflation level, so the problem is to examine the price reduction in consumers, export value, consumer exchange rate and confirmed covid-19 confirmed inflation level. The study was conducted in 2020 from March to September using secondary data with analysis using multiple linear regression. Based on the results of the analysis, it was found that the level of inflation is positively patterned simultaneously from export value, consumer price and export value. Meanwhile, the export value and consumer exchange rate are partially patterned positively and have a very real effect on the inflantion rate. But it has no real effect on consumer prices and covid 19 is confirmed at the inflantion rate.
Keywords: Consumer price level index, export value, exchange rate, confirmed Covid-19, and inflation rate

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ajmair, M. (2015). Determinants of Inflation in India. The Indian Economic Journal, 63(2), 248–254. https://doi.org/10.1177/0019466220150207

Ali Kemal, M. (2006). Is inflation in Pakistan a monetary phenomenon? In Pakistan Development Review (Vol. 45, Issue 2, pp. 213–220). https://doi.org/10.30541/v45i2pp.213-220

Bernanke, B. S. (2006). Ben S Bernanke : The benefits of price stability. February, 1–6. https://www.bis.org/review/r060301b.pdf

Berument, H., & Pasaogullari, M. (2003). Effects of the real exchange rate on output and inflation: Evidence from Turkey. Developing Economies, 41(4), 401–435. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1746-1049.2003.tb01009.x

Bunga, S., Bruto, P. D., & Nilai, S. (2022). Hubungan inflasi indeks harga konsumen, tingkat suku bunga, produk domestik bruto, serta nilai tukar di indonesia. 1(4), 49–61.

Cavallo, A. (2020). INFLATION WITH COVID CONSUMPTION BASKETS. Natioal Bureau of Economic Research, 124(27352), 20–124. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27352/w27352.pdf

Chan, J. F. W., Yuan, S., Kok, K. H., To, K. K. W., Chu, H., Yang, J., Xing, F., Liu, J., Yip, C. C. Y., Poon, R. W. S., Tsoi, H. W., Lo, S. K. F., Chan, K. H., Poon, V. K. M., Chan, W. M., Ip, J. D., Cai, J. P., Cheng, V. C. C., Chen, H., … Yuen, K. Y. (2020). A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster. The Lancet, 395(10223), 514–523. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30154-9

Diding Sakri. (2020). Menakar Dampak Pandemi COVID-19 terhadap Perekonomian Daerah Diding Sakri. CSIS CommentariesDMRU-088-ID, 1–10.

Gagnon, J. E., & Ihrig, J. (2004). MONETARY POLICY AND EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH First Draft: July 2001 This Draft: June 2004 Joseph E. Gagnon and Jane Ihrig*. June.

Hanif, M. N., & Batool, I. (2008). Munich Personal RePEc Archive Openness and Inflation : A Case Study of Pakistan. 10214.

Hill, P. (2004). Consumer price index manual. In Statistical Journal of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (Vol. 21, Issue 2). https://doi.org/10.3233/sju-2004-21201

Iqbal, F., & Raziq, A. (2018). Crude oil price-exchange rate nexus in Pakistan. Financial Statistical Journal, 1(2). https://doi.org/10.24294/fsj.v1i2.738

Irz, X., Niemi, J., & Xing, L. (2012). Determinants of food price inflation in Pakistan. Suomen Maataloustieteellisen Seuran Tiedote, 28, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.33354/smst.75469

Islam, R., Ferdous, R., Sultana, N., & Nomi, M. (2022). Major Macroeconomic Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh : An ARDL Major Macroeconomic Determinants of Inflation in Bangladesh : An ARDL Bound Test Approach. December. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20221104.14

Kristinae, V. (2018). Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Harga Konsumen Terhadap Inflasi (Studi Kasus Pada Inflasi Kota Palangka Raya dan Kab. Sampit di Kalimantan Tengah). Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen, Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 3(1), 1–11.

Mizuno, T., Takayasu, M., & Takayasu, H. (2002). The mechanism of double-exponential growth in hyper-inflation. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 308(1–4), 411–419. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4371(02)00598-8

MUN, J. W. Y., TENG, L. Y., YI, L. H., & JIE, T. J. (2017). Effect of Macroeconomic Variables. August, 15–59.

Nasution, D. A. D., Erlina, E., & Muda, I. (2020). Dampak Pandemi COVID-19 terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Jurnal Benefita, 5(2), 212. https://doi.org/10.22216/jbe.v5i2.5313

Qasim, T. B., Ali, H., Baig, A., & Khakwani, M. S. (2021). Impact of Exchange Rate and Oil Prices on Inflation in Pakistan. Review of Economics and Development Studies, 7(2), 177–185. https://doi.org/10.47067/reads.v7i2.349

Ramzan, Fatima, K., & ZareenYousaf. (2013). An Analysis of the relationship between Inflation and Trade Openness. Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, 215–229.

Rumondor, N., Kumaat, R. J., & ... (2021). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Dan Jumlah Uang Beredar Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia Pada Masa Pandemic Covid-19. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah …, 21(03), 57–67. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/index.php/jbie/article/view/36177

Sayuti, R. H., & Hidayati, S. A. (2020). Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 Terhadap Ekonomi Masyarakat di Nusa Tenggara Barat. RESIPROKAL: Jurnal Riset Sosiologi Progresif Aktual, 2(2), 133–150. https://doi.org/10.29303/resiprokal.v2i2.46

Sercu, P., & Vanhulle, C. (1992). Exchange rate volatility, international trade, and the value of exporting firms. Journal of Banking and Finance, 16(1), 155–182. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4266(92)90083-C

Shah, M. A. A., Arshed, N., & Jamal, F. (2014). Statistical Analysis of the Factors Affecting Inflation in Pakistan. International Journal of Research, 1(4), 331–342. https://doi.org/10.5829/idosi.mejsr.2014.21.01.21134

Sitorus, D. S., Ismanto, B., & Cristanti, I. L. (2020). Pengaruh Indeks Harga Konsumen IHK dan Inflasi Terhadap Suku Bunga Tahun 2008-2018 Indonesia. 8, 622–633.

Suherdinignsih, V. V., & Rokhman, N. (2020). Pengaruh PDRB, Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi terhadap Nilai Ekspor DI Yogyakarta Tahun 2015-2019. Cakrawangsa Bisnis, 1(1), 17–28.

Suseno, & Simorangkir, I. (2004). Sistem dan Kebijakan Nilai Tukar. Seri Kebanksentralan, 12(12), 61.

Taylor, J. B. (2000). Low in#ation, pass-through, and the pricing power of "rms. European Economic Review, 44, 1389–1408.

Thevarajan, I., Nguyen, T. H. O., Koutsakos, M., Druce, J., Caly, L., van de Sandt, C. E., Jia, X., Nicholson, S., Catton, M., Cowie, B., Tong, S. Y. C., Lewin, S. R., & Kedzierska, K. (2020). Breadth of concomitant immune responses prior to patient recovery: a case report of non-severe COVID-19. Nature Medicine, 26(4), 453–455. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0819-2

Yücel, E. (2005). What Triggers Inflation in Emerging Market Economies ? 141(1), 141–164. https://doi.org/10.1007/sl0290-005-0019-7




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.29040/jiei.v9i1.8516

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam, ISSN 2477-6157 l E-ISSN 2579-6534

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

situs slot