Analisis Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto dan nilai ekspor terhadap Inflasi di 5 Negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Filipina, Singapura, Malaysia, dan Thailand)

Authors

  • Taufik Nur Hidayanto Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta (UMS), Surakarta, Indonesia
  • Agung Riyardi Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta (UMS), Surakarta, Indonesia, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29040/jie.v8i2.12573

Abstract

Purpose: to understand and analyze the influence of gross domestic product (GDP) and export value on inflation in five countries in ASEAN. Methodology: The analysis method in this study is econometric analysis of panel data regression from 2018 to 2022 in 5 ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand) using e-Views software. Results: The results of the research partially show that the variables gross domestic product (GDP) (X1) and export value (X2) have a significant and positive influence on inflation in the five main ASEAN countries. The test results together also show that there is a significant positive influence of the variables gross domestic product (GDP) (X1) and export value (X2) on inflation. Applications/Originality/Value: This research uses five ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines, as research objects, where the use of these countries has never been carried out in previous research. Then the added value of this research can be seen in the choice of GDP as one of the variables, where GDP is one of the main variables in determining the inflation rate

References

Anggraeni, D., & Dwiputri, I. N. (2022). Variabel-variabel yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 11(2), 119–128. https://doi.org/10.23960/jep.v11i2.490

Ashari et al. (2020). Cakrawangsa Bisnis Pengaruh PDRB, Nilai Tukar, dan Inflasi terhadap Nilai Ekspor DI Yogyakarta Tahun 2015-2019. Cakrawangsa Bisnis, 1(1), 9–16. http://journal.stimykpn.ac.id/index.php/cb

Aydın, C., Esen, Ö., & Bayrak, M. (2016). Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 229, 196–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.07.129

Ayu agustina pratiwi. (2018). Analisis pengaruh kurs dollar as, pdb dan inflasi terhadap ekspor indonesia tahun 2006.I – 2016.IV. Ekonomi Dan Bisnis UMS Surakarta, 5(4), 1–26.

Bashir, A. H., & Natacha, U. (2020). Impact of Exports and Imports on the Economic Growth: A case study of Rwanda from 2006 to 2020. Jonkoping University Journal, 1(1), 17–25.

Batubara., M. S. S. A. I. (2023). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Produk Domestik Bruto (Pdb), Laju Inflasi Dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Nilai Impor Di Indonesia Periode 2014-2022 Dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam. Jurnal Masharif Al-Syariah: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Perbankan Syariah, 8(30), 1403–1417.

Daryono Soebagyo; Anissa Tri Utami. (2023). Determinants of Inflation in Indonesia; The Money Supply, Exchange Rate, Or Foreign Exchange Reserves? Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 14(2), 144–152.

Dikson. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi Terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto (Pdb) Indonesia Pada Periode Tahun 2010-2020. ESENSI: Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis, 24(1), 2021. https://journal.feb.unmul.ac.id/index.php/KINERJA/article/download/18/21

Fransiska, Susanto, K., & Astuty, F. (2023). The Effect Of Inflation, Exports And Gross Domestic Product On Exchange Rate In Indonesia Period 2014-2020. Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal, 4(3), 1818–1829. http://journal.yrpipku.com/index.php/msej

International Monetary Fund. (2022). World Economic Outlook: War Sets Back The Global Recovery. In World Economic Outlook April 2022. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2022/04/19/world-economic-outlook-april-2022

Istinganah, A., & Hartiyah, S. (2021). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar Rupiah, Produk Domestik Bruto Dan Jumlah Uang Beredar Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (Ihsg) Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (Bei) Periode 2010 Sampai 2019. Journal of Economic, Business and Engineering (JEBE), 2(2), 245–252. https://doi.org/10.32500/jebe.v2i2.1739

Kurniawan, B., Restia Sunarya, S., Naofal, F., & Mukdas Sudarjah, G. (2021). Indeks Harga Ekspor, Inflasi, Pengangguran Serta Pengaruhnya Terhadap Pendapatan Nasional Indonesia dan Korea. Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi, 1(3), 120–130. https://doi.org/10.23969/jrie.v1i3.19

Muhammad Ikhsan Harahap, dan S. (2023). Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Bisnis Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Bisnis. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi Dan Bisnis, 23(2), 73–81.

Muryani, S., & Hutajulu, D. M. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Produk Domestik Bruto, Dan Kurs Bagi Impor Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis, 28(2), 210–224. https://doi.org/10.35760/eb.2023.v28i2.7290

Nabila Savira, & Ima Amaliah. (2023). Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto, Nilai tukar dan Inflasi Terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Negara-negara di Asia Tenggara Tahun 2019-2021. Bandung Conference Series: Economics Studies, 3(2), 355–361. https://doi.org/10.29313/bcses.v3i2.8268

Putra, R. C. Y., & Soebagiyo, D. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar Mata Uang, dan PDB terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di 5 Negara ASEAN tahun 2007-2022. Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 03(04), 561–565.

Putri, I. A. (2021). Analisis Perngaruh Konsumsi, Investasi, Dan Inflasi Terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto Di Indonesia Tahun 2000-2019. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis UMS Surakarta, 7(5), 25–35. http://eprints.ums.ac.id/id/eprint/93188%0Ahttp://eprints.ums.ac.id/93188/1/Naskah Publikasi Intan.pdf

Putri, V. S. K. (2020). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Dan Produk Domestik Bruto Terhadap Ekspor Textile Dengan Inflasi Sebagai Variabel Intervening. Business and Economics Conference in Utilization of Modern Technology, 585–599. www.bi.go.id.

Rahmiati, D. P., & Panorama, M. (2022). Pengaruh Inflasi, Produk Domestik Bruto (Pdb) Dan Neraca Perdagangan Terhadap Jumlah Pengangguran Di Indonesia. IEB: Journal of Islamic Economics and Business, 1(1), 30–36. https://doi.org/10.19109/ieb.v1i1.12038

Rezandy, A., & Yasin, A. (2021). Pengaruh Nilai Tukar, Inflasi, Dan Pendapatan Nasional Terhadap Ekspor Nonmigas Indonesia. Independent: Journal of Economics, 1(3), 95–110. https://doi.org/10.26740/independent.v1i3.42784

Safitri, I. (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga, Nilai Tukar dan Cadangan Devisa Terhadap Produk Domestik Bruto di Indonesia Tahun 1995-2019. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis UMS Surakarta, 5(7), 1–17.

Semuel, H., & Nurina, S. (2021). Analysis of the effect of inflation, SBI interest rates, and exchange rates on the money supply in Indonesia. Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance and Social Sciences (GB15_Thai Conference), 4(1), 7.

Shochrul R Ajija. Dyah W Sari. Rahmat H Setianto. Martha R Primanti. (2019). Cara Cerdas Menguasai E-Views. Salemba Empat.

Silaban, P. S. M. J., & Rejeki, R. (2020). Pengaruh Inflasi, Ekspor Dan Impor Terhadap Pdb Di Indonesia Periode 2015 – 2018. Niagawan, 9(1), 56. https://doi.org/10.24114/niaga.v9i1.17656

Subasat, T. (2022). Growth ? Some Cross-Section Evidence. Development Policy Review, 20(3), 333–349.

Sugiyono. (2019). Metode Penelitian Bisnis. Cetakan Kedelapan. Bandung: CV Alfabeta.

Triyawan, A., & Afifah, A. N. (2023). Pengaruh Inflasi, Nilai Tukar, Ekspor dan Impor terhadap GDP di Negara Belgia. Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi, 23(1), 19. https://doi.org/10.33087/jiubj.v23i1.2514

Triyawan, A., & Sandy. (2020). Pengaruh Inflasi, Ekspor, Obligasi Syari’ah, Dan Jumlah Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Periode 2011-2020. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Islam, 1–13. https://osf.io/kgr3v/download

Uriarte, A. F. (2018). Introduction to Knowledge Management. ASEAN Foundation.

Ventika, E. V., & Setyowati, E. (2024). Analysis and Measurement of the Impact of Export Value, Import Value, Exchange Rate, and Inflation on Indonesia Budget Deficit 1996–2021. ICOEBS, 3(4), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-204-0_3

W.S. Purwodarminto. (2017). Kamus Besar Bahasa Indonesia. Jakarta: Gramedia Pustaka Utama.

Wilda Ayu Mentari, E. P. (2018). Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto Dan Inflasi Terhadap Jumlah Uang Beredar Di Indonesia. Ekonomi, Keuangan, Investasi Dan Syariah (EKUITAS), 5(2), 317–326. https://doi.org/10.47065/ekuitas.v5i2.4347

Xiong, M. (2023). Relationship Between GDP and Inflation Rate. BCP Business & Management, 40, 372–376. https://doi.org/10.54691/bcpbm.v40i.4403

Additional Files

Published

2024-04-05

How to Cite

Hidayanto, T. N., & Riyardi, A. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto dan nilai ekspor terhadap Inflasi di 5 Negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Filipina, Singapura, Malaysia, dan Thailand). JURNAL ILMIAH EDUNOMIKA, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.29040/jie.v8i2.12573

Issue

Section

Articles

Citation Check